Peter Gøtzsche writes:
In 2024, PubMed indexed 1,728,666 articles. Compare this with the little progress there is in healthcare from year to year and consider also that most research results are unreliable or outright false. Ridiculous names for predatory journals (clicking the link will download a docx file), Peter C Gøtzsche, Institute for Scientific Freedom, 7 March 2025
This is exactly the sort of overview we need to take in health and other policy areas: a comparison of the resources devoted to a goal and the actual outcomes achieved. Unfortunately, few people have the incentive or capacity to make such comparisons. Professor Gøtzsche himself has been vilified for questioning the role that the pharmaceutical industry plays in psychiatry. Yet taking a panoptic view makes it clear that there's something very wrong with the world's healthcare. It's not just healthcare:
From 2004 to 2014, aid spending increased by 75%. “There was a real feeling,” says Stefan Dercon of the University of Oxford, “that if there was a time things were going to get going, this was it.” Things did not get going. From 2014 to 2024, the world’s 78 poorest economies grew more slowly than in the decade to 1970, when aid was first emerging. This is perhaps unsurprising, given earlier studies. In 2004 William Easterly of New York University and co-authors found that, from 1970 to 1997, aid was just as likely to shrink the world’s poorest economies as to help them grow. Aid cannot make poor countries rich, the 'Economist', 6 March 2025
Again, how many people take this sort of overview, and what influence do they have over policy? Very few, and negligible, I'd say. Arguably, the same failings occur in education in some of the rich countries. Certainly they apply to climate change if we take greenhouse gas emissions as an indicator of policy success:
Why are we so hopeless at making effective and efficient policies? One answer is that we rarely evaluate their effectiveness:
[G]overnment bureaucracies non-self-evaluate. At a minimum, agencies with evaluative responsibilities are not invited to evaluate - they are kept out of the loop, their opinions unsought. At a maximum, government agencies actively suppress their own internal evaluative units and are discouraged from evaluating the beliefs and policies of other agencies. Why States Believe Foolish Ideas: Non-Self-Evaluation By States And Societies (pdf), Stephen Van Evera, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Political Science Department and Security Studies Program, 2002
Another answer is that our policies do not adapt to changing circumstances, nor are national policies sufficiently adapted to different regions. From the same article in the Economist:
[D]isillusioned economists have turned to the work of Esther Duflo, a Nobel laureate at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, who uses randomised controlled trials to study interventions. Yet she has come to a dispiriting conclusion: there is no reason why what works in one neighbourhood will do so in the rest of a district, let alone on another continent. In one Indian village, for instance, giving women pensions made their granddaughters (if not their grandsons) healthier; in another, handouts failed to improve health or even raise household consumption. Ms Duflo’s findings chime with other research....
Especially for long-term goals, we need policies that are diverse and adaptive. Social Policy Bonds, as well as injecting market incentives into the solution of our social and environmental problems, would encourage investors to explore different approaches, to refine those that are most promising and, importantly, to terminate failing approaches.
For more about how the Social Policy Bond principle could be applied to health, see here. For how it could be applied to development see here.
1 comment:
RE: "taking a panoptic view makes it clear that there's something very wrong with the world's healthcare. It's not just healthcare"
There is a panoptic view" that explains the reasons for this --- carefully study the scholarly essay The 2 Married Pink Elephants In The Historical Room –The Holocaustal Covid-19 Coronavirus Madness: A Sociological Perspective & Historical Assessment Of The Covid “Phenomenon” at https://www.rolf-hefti.com/covid-19-coronavirus.html
Yet...
"The masses have never thirsted after truth. They turn aside from evidence that is not to their taste, preferring to deify error, if error seduces them. Whoever can supply them with illusions is easily their master; whoever attempts to destroy their illusions is always their victim." --- Gustave Le Bon, in 1895
It's WHY you "very few" panoptic overview are around: they show the ugliest truth about advanced humans, and extremely few individuals WANT the real truth (see cited essay above).
If you have been injected with Covid jabs/bioweapons and are concerned, then verify what batch number you were injected with at https://howbadismybatch.com
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